On today's episode of On The Margin, Mike Ippolito is joined by 42 Macro Founder & CEO Darius Dale. Darius uses his GRID framework to describe the current market conditions whilst exploring what his four horsemen of market risk signals are telling us about potential risks brewing in the market.
Darius then explores his macro framework focusing on a variety of sectors such as the Fed's inflation fears, the shift from growth to value & whether the 40 year bond bull market could be signaling a regime shift. Finally, Darius shares his reaction to the BoJ formally re-instating yield curve control, warning signals coming out of China & an ever increasingly polarized world as de-globalization begins taking effect.
Referenced In The Show:
BoJ Announcement on the Conduct of Fixed-Rate Purchase Operations: https://www.boj.or.jp/en/announcements/release_2022/rel220420d.pdf
China’s Population Flatlines With Fewest Births Since 1950: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-17/china-s-population-fl...
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Follow Darius Dale: https://twitter.com/42macroDDale
Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_
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Listen to this episode on Apple or Spotify.
Apple: https://tinyurl.com/mry8y4k3
Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/3vnnkrkw
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Timestamps:
00:00・Introduction
01:13・Darius' 2022 Market Outlook
08:51・6-12 Month Cyclical Outlook
12:39・The Fed's Inflation Fears
16:11・The Four Horseman of Market Risk
20:32・Growth To Value
22:43・BoJ Announces Yield Curve Control
28:26・Fireblocks Ad
29:45・Is The Bond Bull Market Over?
35:50・The Chinese Credit Cycle
39:22・The Rise & Fall of Empire's
43:04・A Polarising World & Shift To De-Globalization
45:54・Venture Capital Flows Into Crypto
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