This Is the Decade of the Bear

Real VisionJune 24, 2022
Ignore short-term, headline-driven rallies. According to Eric Johnston, the S&P 500 is headed to the low 3,000s during the next six months. And the Senior Managing Director and Head of Equity Derivatives and Cross Asset at Cantor Fitzgerald says investors must brace for lower equity returns over all time horizons, short-, medium-, and long-term. In conversation with Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen, Johnston argues that the era of accommodative U.S. monetary and fiscal policy is over, with no more easy money for Wall Street from the Federal Reserve or handouts for Main Street from Congress. The narrative around inflation will change quickly because “the Fed is significantly at risk of overshooting.” Johnston makes the case that rapidly slowing inflation will give a boost to bond yields in the medium to long term, and he also advocates for Chinese equities. Recorded on June 17, 2022.
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Real VisionJune 24, 2022
Stocks Rally To Close a Strong Week
All three major U.S. equity indexes were up more than 2% heading into Friday’s close, even as the University of Michigan’s reading of consumer sentiment hit a record low in June. As its inflation-fighting efforts threaten growth, the Federal Reserve released results of its periodic “stress tests” showing that all subject banks passed. “Bear in mind,” tweeted Jim Bianco, “the Fed does NOT test for a massive policy error leading to soaring interest rates and huge losses. In other words, these tests, created and conducted by the Fed, assume the Fed never makes a mistake.” Bianco, the founder and president of Bianco Research, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to talk about markets, the economy, inflation, and the Federal Reserve. We also hear from Eric Johnston about the market’s perception of the U.S. central bank and its ability to meet its own targets. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3yirRmq. Watch the full conversation featuring Eric Johnston and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/3bpLTT0.
Real VisionJune 23, 2022
It's Time to Talk About Slowing Growth
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What To Expect From the Ethereum Merge
Ethereum is nearing the end of a multi-year initiative to overhaul its consensus mechanism. But seamlessly migrating an operating protocol from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS) is not a simple task. Galaxy Digital's Christine Kim joins Real Vision's Ash Bennington to explain how developers plan to bring PoS to Ethereum via a “merge” of Ethereum's Mainnet and the Beacon Chain. Challenges and risks attend this kind of transition. But there are also many advantages, such as improved scalability and less centralization. What's next for Ethereum as we enter into a new era? Christine and Ash also talk about the bear market’s impact on the crypto ecosystem and Lido's staked ETH tokens (stETH). Recorded on June 17, 2022.

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